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Table 4.  South Dakota spring wheat yield (Bu/Ac) and production estimates using NOAA AVHRR NDVI spectral regression method.

   

WITHIN-YEAR

  

THREE YEARS

 

Year

ASD

Harvested
Acres

Yield
NASS

Yield
NDVI

Production
NDVI

Production
NASS

 NDVI- NASS
 Diff.
%

Yield
NDVI

Production
NDVI

Diff. %

1989

10

178,000

18.2

18.5

3,297,700

3,243,900

1.8%

19.4

3,477,200

6.3%

 

20

878,900

20.5

20.8

18,260,400

18,014,800

1.3%

23.1

20,345,100

12.9%

 

30

530,500

27.9

25.0

13,244,300

14,786,300

-10.5%

30.2

16,015,900

8.3%

 

40

41,900

12.3

11.7

488,900

516,400

-5.1%

7.8

328,400

-36.4%

 

50

233,600

15.0

18.3

4,274,900

3,508,400

22.0%

19.0

4,435,000

26.4%

 

60

141,500

29.7

24.7

3,499,000

4,197,700

-16.7%

29.8

4,215,300

0.4%

 

70

2,100

15.0

13.8

28,900

31,500

-8.3%

11.3

23,800

-24.4%

 

80

5,100

16.3

14.3

73,100

83,300

-12/1%

12.4

63,100

-24/3%

 

90

38,400

18.7

21.9

842,200

717,700

17.3%

25.1

963,600

34.3%

SD

 

2,050,000

22.0

21.5

44,009,400

45,100,000

-2.4%

24.3

49,837,500

10.5%

1990

10

135,400

16.5

14.6

1,980,600

2,234,500

-11.3%

22.5

3,046,000

36.3%

 

20

918,000

32.0

27.2

24,978,400

29,345,100

-15.0%

29.0

26,658,400

-9.2%

 

30

609,000

39.4

35.7

21,733,500

24,000,400

-9.4%

33.4

20,370,100

-15.1%

 

40

17,600

16.9

21.4

377,400

298,300

26/9%

26.0

458,300

53.6%

 

50

258,200

27.8

25.4

6,559,300

7,177,900

-8.6%

28.1

7,255,600

1.1%

 

60

124,000

25.9

32.1

3,984,900

3,217,500

24.1%

31.6

3,918,600

21.8%

 

70

1,600

14.6

21.3

34,000

23,300

45.6%

25.9

41,500

78.0%

 

80

7,700

25.4

26.1

200,800

195,300

2.7%

28.5

219,100

12.0%

 

90

28,500

24.8

24.5

698,700

707,700

-23.4%

27.6

787,700

11.3%

SD

 

2,100,000

32.0

28.8

60,547,000

67,200,000

-9.9%

29.9

62,755,300

-6.6%

1992

10

244,000

25.0

24.6

6,002,200

6,108,900

-1.6%

21.9

5,331,600

-12.7%

 

20

1,020,000

34.9

33.3

33,959,200

35,648,300

-4.6%

29.6

30,208,500

-15.3%

 

30

553,000

40.6

39.1

21,596,600

22,472,000

-3.8%

34.8

19,222,800

-14.5%

 

40

76,000

27.4

25.1

1,908,200

2,084,000

-8.4%

22.3

1,695,200

-18.7%

 

50

377,000

28.3

32.0

12,079,300

10,650,700

13.2%

28.5

10,743,500

0.9%

 

60

120,000

38.0

39.0

4,682,600

4,564,000

2.7%

34.7

4,167,900

-8.7%

 

70

6,000

26.9

27.2

163,500

161,500

1.3%

24.2

145,300

-10.0%

 

80

58,000

27.8

29.8

1,727,000

1,611,300

7.1%

26.5

1,535,500

-4.7%

 

90

46,000

36.9

33.7

1,552,200

1,699,300

-8.6%

26.5

1,380,800

-18.7%

SD

 

2,500,000

34.0

33.5

83,670,800

85,000,000

-1.6%

29.8

74,431,100

 
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