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Table 1.  North Dakota spectral regression parameters using four years to relate spring wheat yields (Bu/Ac) and NOAA AVHRR NDVI values.

Year

Intercept

Slope

R-Square

1989

-29.417063

31.452996

0.57

1990

-62.281917

51.990917

0.64

1991

-23.605395

30.469838

0.61

1992

-3.45561

24.296823

0.69

1989-92

-34.946438

37.757536

0.57

Table 2.  South Dakota spectral regression parameters using three years to relate spring wheat yields (Bu/Ac) and NOAA AVHRR NDVI values.

Year

Intercept

Slope

R-Square

1989

-2.458659

14.36957

0.58

1990

-59.221463

46.446748

0.57

1992

-17.675665

27.043108

0.49

1989-92

-15.908122

24.154246

0.55

Table 3.  North Dakota spring wheat yield (Bu/Ac) and production estimates using NOAA AVHRR NDVI spectral regression method.

   

WITHIN-YEAR

  

FOUR YEARS

 

Year

ASD

Harvested Acres

Yield NASS

Yield NDVI

Production NDVI

Production NASS

NDVI- NASS Diff. %

Yield NDVI

Production NDVI

Diff. %

1989

10

690,000

17.9

19.5

13,465,000

12,368,000

8.9%

23.8

16,418,000

32.7%

 

20

474,000

19.5

23.4

11,099,000

9,230,000

20.2%

28.5

13,497,000

46.2%

 

30

1,365,000

34.5

29.1

39,741,000

47,090,000

-15.6%

35.3

48,207,000

2.4%

 

40

496,000

18.5

16.3

8,067,000

9,176,000

-12.1%

19.9

9,866,000

7.5%

 

50

894,000

18.0

20.8

18,577,000

16,092,000

15.4%

25.3

22,628,000

40.6%

 

60

1,098,000

29.5

24.6

26,993,000

32,388,000

-16.7%

29.9

32,807,000

1.3%

 

70

720,000

20.0

15.8

11,368,000

14,400,000

-21.1%

19.3

13,911,000

-3.4%

 

80

480,000

12.0

13.4

6,414,000

5,760,000

11.4%

16.4

7,876,000

36.7%

 

90

1,033,000

26.6

26.3

27,213,000

27,496,000

-1.0%

32.0

33,047,000

20.2%

ND

 

7,250,000

24.0

22.5

162,937,000

174,000,000

-6.4%

27.3

198,257,000

13.9%

1990

10

655,000

31.0

29.1

19,055,000

20,305,000

-6.2%

31.4

20,575,000

1.3%

 

20

550,000

34.5

36.9

20,312,000

18,975,000

7.0%

37.1

20,408,000

7.6%

 

30

1,520,000

41.6

36.2

54,980,000

63,307,000

-13.2%

36.6

55,561,000

-12.2%

 

40

505,000

27.0

26.3

13,294,000

13,635,000

-2.5%

29.4

14,848,000

8.9%

 

50

975,000

40.5

39.6

38,635,000

39,490,000

-2.2%

39.1

38,086,000

-3.6%

 

60

1,215,000

49.0

43.1

52,319,000

59,535,000

-12.1%

41.6

50,491,000

-15.2%

 

70

700,000

20.5

18.1

12,695,000

14,350,000

-11.5%

23.5

16,419,000

14.4%

 

80

485,000

18.0

27.5

13,316,000

8,730,000

52.5%

30.2

14,658,000

67.9%

 

90

095,000

35.5

36.4

39,898,000

38,873,000

2.6%

36.7

40,237,000

3.5%

ND

 

7,700,000

36.0

34.4

264,504,000

277,200,000

-4.6%

35.2

271,284,000

-2.1%

1991

10

595,000

28.5

28.7

17,102,000

16,960,000

0.8%

29.9

17,804,000

5.0%

 

20

510,000

28.0

30.4

15,488,000

14,280,000

8.5%

31.9

16,288,000

14.1%

 

30

1,315,000

36.8

34.8

45,753,000

48,350,000

-5.4%

37.4

49,207,000

1.8%

 

.40

440,000

25.0

24.2

10,669,000

11,000,000

-3.0%

24.4

10,714,000

-2.6%

 

50

905,000

30.5

28.5

25,758,000

27,603,000

-6.7%

29.6

26,764,000

-3.0%

 

60

1,005,000

38.5

33.3

33,464,000

38,692,000

-13.5%

35.6

35,744,000

-7.6%

 

70

625,000

25.0

23.1

14,415,000

15,625,000

-7.7%

22.9

14,304,000

-8.5%

 

80

585,000

22.0

25.6

14,990,000

12,870,000

16.5%

26.1

15,244,000

18.4%

 

90

870,000

  

29,313,000

26,970,000

8.7%

36.1

31,370,000

16.3%

ND

 

6,850,000

31.0

30.2

206,952,000

212,350,000

-2.5%

31.7

217,438,000

2.4%

1992

10

864,000

39.5

36.4

31,481,000

34,093,000

-7.7%

27.0

23,368,000

-31.5%

 

20

775,000

35.2

37.7

29,239,000

27,270,000

7.2%

29.1

22,516,000

-17.4%

 

30

1,806,000

51.1

50.3

90,897,000

92,237,000

-1.5%

48.6

87,839,000

-4.8%

 

40

625,000

36.0

34.0

21,220,000

22,523,000

-5.8%

23.2

14,491,000

-35.7%

 

50

1,096,000

37.4

39.3

43,101,000

41,024,000

5.1%

31.5

34,563,000

-15.7%

 

60

1,287,000

48.2

46.3

59,584,000

62,000,000

-3.9%

42.4

54,529,000

-12.1%

 

70

827,000

34.5

32.2

26,598,000

28,507,000

-6.7%

20.4

16,873,000

-40.8%

 

80

704,000

32.7

38.2

26,884,000

23,007,000

16.9%

29.8

20,956,000

-8.9%

 

90

1,116,000

46.2

43.7

48,746,000

51,539,000

-5.4%

38.3

42,744,000

-17.1%

  

9,100,000

 

41.5

377,750,000

382,200,000

-1.2%

34.9

317,880,000

-16.8%

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