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ARS Home » Plains Area » Fort Collins, Colorado » Center for Agricultural Resources Research » Rangeland Resources & Systems Research » Research » Research Project #436575

Research Project: Adaptive Grazing Management and Decision Support to Enhance Ecosystem Services in the Western Great Plains

Location: Rangeland Resources & Systems Research

2020 Annual Report


Accomplishments
1. Effects of multiple, interactive disturbances in the Thunder Basin Ecoregion. To support sound land management decisions, rangeland managers require knowledge of how disturbances influence vegetation and ecosystem function. Such knowledge was previously lacking for northeastern Wyoming, which is a complex, diverse ecosystem located in a transitional zone (ecotone) between the Great Basin and the Great Plains. Using a stakeholder-driven research approach in collaboration with the Thunder Basin Grasslands Prairie Ecosystem Association, the University of Wyoming, and the USDA Forest Service, ARS scientists from Fort Collins, Colorado, and Cheyenne, Wyoming, demonstrated that: 1) wildfires do not promote cheatgrass invasion in this system, but they do lead to long-term ecosystem change by removing shrubs and shifting herbaceous species composition; 2) prairie dogs and historical wildfires shape vegetation structure more than short-term livestock management; 3) prairie dogs are associated with shorter structure vegetation and higher quality herbaceous forage throughout the growing season; 4) prairie dogs suppress forage biomass in droughts but not in average to wet years; and 5) prairie dog colonies and wildfire disturbances support high grassland bird diversity and sensitive bird species. Results demonstrate that transitional zones such as Thunder Basin can function differently from adjacent, well-studied regions such as the Great Plains or the Great Basin. These discoveries played key roles in the development of candidate conservation agreements (CCAs) between private landowners and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, and a new USDA Forest Service management plan which aims to better balance needs of livestock production and biodiversity conservation on the Thunder Basin National Grassland. Moreover, ARS scientists are using these results to update Ecological Site Descriptions and associated state-and-transition models for the region via a formal USDA-NRCS process.

2. Stocking rate decision-support to enhance resiliency of rangeland livestock operations. Flexible stocking strategies match animal demand with variable forage availability for rangeland livestock operations. However, uncertainty in precipitation often prevents use of flexible stocking strategies across the western U.S. ARS scientists from Cheyenne, Wyoming, and Fort Collins, Colorado, in collaboration with scientists from Colorado State University, integrated eight decades of livestock production and climatic data to produce an enhanced stocking rate decision tree for western Great Plains rangelands. The decision tree incorporated influences of hierarchical temporal precipitation controls for livestock production, as temperature was not influential. Results showed that indices of decadal-scale sea surface temperatures off the Pacific Coast (Pacific Decadal Oscillation [PDO] phases) and a shorter-term (1-4 year) sea surface temperature fluctuations at the equator (El Nino Southern Oscillation phase) can be combined with local-scale (1-3 month) precipitation patterns to improve predictions of livestock weight gains in the western Great Plains. This decision tree substantially reduces enterprise risk enabling managers to make timely stocking rate adjustments without knowledge of impending growing-season precipitation amount. This innovative tool empowers livestock managers to make proactive stocking rate decisions, thus increasing profitability, production efficiency, and environmental sustainability on western U.S. rangelands.

3. Soil surface characteristics influence fine dust emissions on US drylands. Wind erosion and blowing dust in U.S. dryland ecosystems threaten food security through loss of productive soils and human health through reduced air quality and visual constraints for safe driving conditions. ARS scientists in Fort Collins, Colorado, in collaboration with scientists from the U.S. Geological Survey, Kansas State University, and Shandong Agricultural University and Beijing Normal University, China, conducted a series of wind tunnel and field experiments to understand and predict the effects of surface characteristics on fine dust emissions. The wind tunnel studies provided a 3-D computer simulation of wind flow through a plant canopy, demonstrated that fine dust emissions from abrasion of soil clods were greater for sandy soils than finer textured soils, and provided predictive equations for very fine dust emissions. A complementary field study demonstrated that bare soil inoculated with locally collected biological soil crust produced sediment-accumulating benefits within four-months, especially when combined with a soil stabilizer, indicating potential for dust mitigation in drylands. These results further quantify fine dust emissions from a variety of land surfaces, improve predictive wind erosion models of dust emissions, and provide promising methods for reducing dust emission from drylands, which together improve our ability to predict dust sources and develop controls for improved air, soil and water quality in the western U.S.


Review Publications
Wilmer, H.N., Fernandez-Gimenez, M., Ghajar, S., Taylor, P.L., Souza, C., Derner, J.D. 2019. Managing for the middle: Rancher care ethics under uncertainty on Western Great Plains rangelands. Agriculture and Human Values. 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10460-019-10003-w.
Raynor, E.J., Derner, J.D., Hoover, D.L., Parton, W., Augustine, D.J. 2020. Large-scale and local climatic controls on large herbivore productivity: Implications for adaptive rangeland management. Ecological Applications. 30(3). Article e02053. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2053.
Hillis, A.V., Berry, K., Souza Leao Swette, B., Aslan, C., Berry, S., Porensky, L.M. 2020. Unlikely alliances and their implications for resource management in the American West. Environmental Research Letters. 15(4):045002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6fbc.
Tatarko, J., Kucharski, M., Li, H., Li, H. 2020. PM2.5 and PM10 emissions by abrasion of agricultural soils. Soil and Tillage Research. 200:104601. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.still.2020.104601.
Augustine, D.J., Wigley, B., Ratnam, J., Kibet, S., Nyangito, M., Sankaran, M. 2019. Large herbivores maintain a two-phase herbaceous vegetation mosaic in a semi-arid savanna. Ecology and Evolution. 9:12779-12788. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.5750.
Reynolds, A., Derner, J.D., Augustine, D.J., Porensky, L.M., Wilmer, H.N., Jorns, T., Briske, D.D., Scasta, J., Fernandez-Gimenez, M. 2019. Ecological sites: Can they be managed to promote livestock production? Rangelands. 41(6):239-243. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rala.2019.07.003.
Derner, J.D., Raynor, E.J., Reeves, J., Augustine, D.J., Milchunas, D. 2019. Climatic and management determinants of large herbivore production in semiarid grassland. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment. 290:106761. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2019.106761.
Scasta, J., Jorns, T., Derner, J.D., Lake, S., Augustine, D.J., Windh, J., Smith, T. 2019. Validation of DNA metabarcoding of fecal samples using cattle fed known rations. Animal Feed Science And Technology. 255:114219. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.anifeedsci.2019.114219.
Ma, L., Derner, J.D., Harmel, R.D., Tatarko, J., Moore, A., Rotz, C.A., Augustine, D.J., Boone, R., Coughenour, M. 2019. Application of grazing land models in ecosystem management: Current status and next frontiers. Advances in Agronomy. 158:173-216. https://doi.org/10.1016/bs.agron.2019.07.003.
Coverdale, T., McGeary, I., O'Connell, R., Palmer, T., Goheen, J., Sankaran, M., Augustine, D.J., Ford, A., Pringle, R. 2019. Strong but opposing effects of associational resistance and susceptibility on defense phenotype in an African savanna plant. Oikos. 128:1772-1782. https://doi.org/10.1111/oik.06644.
Duchardt, C., Augustine, D.J., Beck, J. 2020. Anthropogenic and natural disturbance differentially affect sagebrush bird habitat use. Journal of Wildlife Management. 84(7):1361-1372. https://doi.org/10.1002/jwmg.21907.
Sanderson, J., Beutler, C., Brown, J.R., Burke, I., Chapman, T., Conant, R., Derner, J.D., Easter, M., Fuhlendorf, S.D., Grissom, G., Herrick, J.E., Liptzin, D., Morgan, J.A., Murph, R., Pague, C., Rangwala, I., Ray, D., Rondeau, R., Schulz, T., Sullivan, T. 2020. Cattle, conservation and carbon in the western Great Plains. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation. 75(1):5A-12A. https://doi.org/10.2489/jswc.75.1.5A.
Chen, M., Parton, W.J., Hartman, M.D., Del Grosso, S.J., Smith, W.K., Knapp, A.K., Lutz, S., Derner, J.D., Tucker, C.J., Ojima, D.S., Volesky, J., Stephenson, M., Schacht, W., Gao, W. 2019. Assessing precipitation, evapotranspiration, and NDVI as controls of Great Plains plant production. Ecosphere. 10(10):e02889. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.2889.
Smart, A.J., Harmoney, K., Scasta, J.D., Stephenson, M.B., Volesky, J.D., Vermeire, L.T., Mosely, J., Sedivec, K., Meehan, M., Haigh, T., Derner, J.D., McClaran, M.P. 2019. Forum: Critical decision dates for drought management in central and northern Great Plains rangelands. Rangeland Ecology and Management. 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rama.2019.09.005.
Chen, X., Qi, Z., Gui, D., Gu, Z., Ma, L., Zeng, F., Li, L. 2019. A Decision Support System for Irrigation Scheduling (DSSIS) based on model predicted water stress index and forecast weather data. Agronomy. 9:686. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy9110686.
Sadhukhan, D., Qi, Z., Zhang, T., Tan, C., Ma, L. 2019. Modeling and mitigating phosphorus losses in a tile-drained and manured field using RZWQM2-P. Journal of Environmental Quality. 48:995-1005. https://doi.org/10.2134/jeq2018.12.0424.
Chen, X., Qi, Z., Gui, D., Gu, Z., Ma, L., Zeng, F., Li, L. 2019. Simulating impacts of climate change on cotton yield and water requirement using RZWQM2. Agricultural Water Management. 222:231-241. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2019.05.030.
Zhang, H., Han, M., Comas, L.H., DeJonge, K.C., Gleason, S.M., Trout, T.J., Ma, L. 2019. Response of maize yield components to growth stage-based deficit irrigation. Agronomy Journal. 111:14-9. https://doi.org/10.2134/agronj2019.03.0214.
Griffin-Nolan, R.J., Blumenthal, D.M., Collins, S.L., Farkas, T.E., Hoffman, A.M., Mueller, K.E., Ocheltree, T.W., Smith, M.D., Whitney, K.D., Knapp, A.K. 2020. Shifts in plant functional composition following long-term drought in grasslands. Journal of Ecology. 107:2133-2148. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.13252.
Wallingford, P.D., Morelli, T.L., Allen, J.M., Beaury, E.M., Blumenthal, D.M., Bradley, B.A., Dukes, J.S., Early, R., Fusco, E.J., Goldberg, D.E. 2020. Adjusting the lens of invasion biology to focus on the aspects of climate-driven range shifts. Nature Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0768-2.
Ocheltree, T.W., Muller, K.M., Chesus, K., Lecain, D.R., Kray, J.A., Blumenthal, D.M. 2020. Identification of suites of traits that explains drought resistance and pheonological patterns of plants in a semi-arid grassland community. Physiological Ecology. 192:55-66. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-019-04567-x.
Kattge, J., Bonisch, G., Diaz, S., Lavorel, S., Prentice, I.C., Leadley, P., Tautenhahn, S., Werner, G., Gillison, A., Wirth, C., Gleason, S.M., Blumenthal, D.M. 2020. TRY plant trait database - enhanced coverage and open access. Global Change Biology. 26:119-188. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14904.
Terrer, C., Franklin, O., Prentice, I.C., Keenan, T.F., Kaiser, C., Vicca, S., Fisher, J.B., Reich, P.B., Stocker, B.D., Blumenthal, D.M. 2019. Nitrogen and phosphorus constrain the CO2 fertilization of global plant biomass. Nature Climate Change. 9:684-689. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0545-2.
Hoover, D.L., Bestelmeyer, B.T., Grimm, N., Huxman, T., Reed, S., Sala, O., Seastedt, T., Wilmer, H.N., Ferrenberg, S. 2019. Traversing the wasteland: A framework for assessing ecological threats to drylands. Bioscience. 70(1):35-47. https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biz126.
Smith, M., Koerner, S., Knapp, A., Avolio, M., Chaves, F.A., Denton, E.M., Dietrich, J., Gibson, D.J., Gray, J., Hoffman, A.M., Hoover, D.L., Komatsu, K.J., Silletti, A., Wilcox, K., Yu, Q., Blair, J.M. 2020. Mass ratio effects underlie ecosystem responses to environmental change. Journal of Ecology. 108(3):855-864. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.13330.
Zhang, F., Quan, Q., Ma, F., Tian, D., Hoover, D.L., Zhou, Q., Niu, Z. 2019. When does extreme drought elicit extreme ecological responses? Journal of Ecology. 107(6):2553-2563. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.13226.
Gonzales, H., Tatarko, J., Casada, M.E., Maghirang, R., Hagen, L., Barden, C. 2020. Computational fluid dynamics simulation of airflow through standing vegetation. American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers. 62(6):1713-1722. https://doi.org/10.13031/trans.13449.
Fick, S.E., Barger, N., Tatarko, J., Duniway, M. 2020. Induced biological soil crust controls on wind erodibility and PM10 emissions. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms. 45:224-236. https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.4731.
Jarrah, M., Mayel, S., Tatarko, J., Funk, R., Kuka, K. 2019. A review of wind erosion models: data requirements, processes, and validity. Catena. 187:104388. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2019.104388.
Webb, N., Kachergis, E., Miller, S., McCord, S.E., Bestelmeyer, B.T., Brown, J., Chappell, A., Edwards, B., Herrick, J.E., Karl, J., Leys, J., Metz, L., Smarik, S., Tatarko, J., Van Zee, J.W., Zwicke, G. 2020. Indicators and benchmarks for wind erosion monitoring, assessment and management. Ecological Indicators. 110:105881. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.105881.
Veblen, K.E., Porensky, L.M. 2019. Thresholds are in the eye of the beholder: Plants and wildlife respond differently to short-term cattle corrals. Ecological Applications. 29(8):e01982. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.1982.
Espeland, E.K., Schreeg, L., Porensky, L.M. 2019. Managing risks related to climate variability in rangeland-based livestock production: What producer driven strategies are shared and prevalent across diverse dryland geographies? Journal of Environmental Management. 255:109889. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109889.
Mamedov, A., Wagner, L.E., Presley, D., Norton, D., Levy, G. 2020. Polyacrylamide dissolved in low quality water effects on structure stability of soils varying in texture and clay type. Journal of Soils and Sediments. https://doi.org/10.1080/03650340.2020.1757658.
Wilmer, H.N., Sturrock, J. 2020. Humbled by nature: A rancher’s mental-model of adaptation in the Great Plains. Great Plains Research. 30(1):15-33. https://doi.org/10.1353/gpr.2020.0001.
Raynor, E.J., Coon, J.J., Swartz, T.M., Morton, L.W., Schacht, W.H., Miller, J.R. 2019. Shifting cattle producer beliefs on stocking and invasive forage: Implications for grassland conservation. Rangeland Ecology and Management. 72:888-898. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rama.2019.07.008.
Raynor, E.J., Harrison, J.O., Whalen, C.E., Smith, J.A., Schacht, W.H., Benson, J.F., Tyre, A.J., Brown, M.B., Powell, L.A. 2019. Anthropogenic noise does not surpass land cover in explaining habitat selection of Greater Prairie-Chicken (Tympanichus cupido). The Condor: Ornithological Applications. 121(4):duz044. https://doi.org/10.1093/condor/duz044.
Levi, M., Krueger, E., Snitker, G.J., Ochsner, T., Villarreal, M.L., Elias, E.H., Peck, D.E. 2019. Rating fire danger from the ground up. Eos GeoHealth. 100. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EO137858.
Peck, D.E., Reeves, W.K., Pelzel-McCluskey, A.M., Derner, J.D., Drolet, B.S., Cohnstaedt, L.W., Swanson, D.A., McVey, D.S., Rodriguez, L.L., Peters, D.C. 2020. Management strategies for reducing the risk of equines contracting Vesicular Stomatitis Virus (VSV) in the Western United States. Journal of Equine Veterinary Science. 90:103026. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jevs.2020.103026.
Elderbrook, M., Schumaker, B., Cornish, T., Peck, D.E., Sondgeroth, K. 2019. Seroprevalence and risk factors of Brucella ovis in domestic sheep in Wyoming, USA. BMC Veterinary Research. 15:246. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12917-019-1995-5.
Bharath, S., Borer, E., Biederman, L., Blumenthal, D.M., Fay, P.A., Gheradi, L., Knops, J., Leakey, A., Yahdjian, L., Seabloom, E. 2020. Nutrient addition increases grassland sensitivity to droughts. Ecology. 101(5):e02981. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.2981.
Ziska, L.H., Blumenthal, D.M., Franks, S.J. 2019. Understanding the nexus of rising CO2, climate change and evolution in weed biology. Invasive Plant Science and Management. 12:79-88. https://doi.org/10.1017/inp.2019.12.
Blumenthal, D.M., Mueller, K., Kray, J.A., Ocheltree, T.W., Augustine, D.J., Wilcox, K.R. 2020. Traits link drought resistance with herbivore defense and plant economics in two semiarid grasslands: The central role of leaf dry matter content. Journal of Ecology. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.13454.
Sohoulande Djebou, D.C., Ma, L., Szogi, A.A., Sigua, G.C., Stone, K.C., Malone, R.W. 2020. Evaluating nitrogen management for corn production with supplemental irrigation on sandy soils of the Southeastern Coastal Plain region of the United States. Transactions of the ASABE. 63(3):731-740. https://doi.org/10.13031/trans.13885.
Peters, D.C., McVey, D.S., Elias, E.H., Pelzel-McCluskey, A.M., Derner, J.D., Burruss, N., Schrader, T.S., Yao, J., Pauszek, S.J., Lombard, J., Rodriguez, L.L. 2020. Big data-model integration and AI for vector-borne disease prediction. Ecosphere. 11:1-20. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.3157.