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ARS Home » Northeast Area » University Park, Pennsylvania » Pasture Systems & Watershed Management Research » Research » Publications at this Location » Publication #398117
Research Project: Sustainable Intensification of Crop and Integrated Crop-Livestock Systems at Multiple Scales

Location: Pasture Systems & Watershed Management Research

Title: What’s coming next? Modeling and mapping current and near-future pollinator floral resources

Author
item Goslee, Sarah
item KAMMERER, MELANIE - Oak Ridge Institute For Science And Education (ORISE)
item LI, KEVIN - Oak Ridge Institute For Science And Education (ORISE)

Submitted to: Meeting Abstract
Publication Type: Abstract Only
Publication Acceptance Date: 10/30/2022
Publication Date: N/A
Citation: N/A

Interpretive Summary: No Interpretive Summary is required for this Abstract Only. JLB.

Technical Abstract: Both organized citizen science efforts such as the National Phenology Network (NPN) and ad-hoc activities like submitting photos to iNaturalist have contributed to the enormous body of organismal data now available. Each bit of information is tagged with time and location information, and in aggregate all of these bits can be used to create and refine models of species distribution and seasonal cycles. We are using both NPN products and iNaturalist data to develop weather-based models of seasonal flowering for important pollinator resource species in the northeastern United States, including black cherry and goldenrod. These models can be used to map floral abundance in near real-time, to compare current conditions to previous years, and to predict floral abundance throughout the rest of the growing season. We will link these flowering phenology models with detailed land cover maps to produce landscape-scale estimates of floral resource availability across the growing season and to identify temporal gaps in resources that could be ameliorated with plantings or other management strategies.